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Executive summary
Publication date: 3 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

FRANCE: Ratings downgrade is a blow to Macron

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287430

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
France
EUR
Topical
economy
politics
fiscal
government
debt
election
party
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: Budget deficit will be larger than planned

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287454

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Russia
RUCIS
Ukraine
Topical
economy
international relations
politics
debt
energy
fiscal
foreign policy
gas
government
invasion
military
oil
policy
sanctions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economic situation is challenging: unemployment was 16.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, and work and business opportunities are limited. The government has avoided a debt…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287273

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Tunisia
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
politics
social
aid
debt
employment
fiscal
government
growth
natural resources
policy
prices
reform
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Stabilisation measures implemented with Gulf assistance this year have created a platform for manufacturing growth. If this can be directed to boost manufactured exports, it would…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 13 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

CHINA: Budget spending to lift infrastructure and GDP

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286992

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
China
AP
Topical
economy
debt
finance
fiscal
government
infrastructure
investment
bonds
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286935

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
France
EUR
Topical
economy
politics
fiscal
government
growth
policy
corporate
debt
election
opposition
party
welfare
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Executive summary
Publication date: 29 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

FRANCE: Credit rating challenges will persist

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286730

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
France
EUR
Topical
economy
debt
fiscal
government
foreign investment

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