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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the poll must take place in September-October. The JVP was formed as a Marxist-Leninist party. Recent opinion polling suggests Dissanayake would be…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The two parties associated with him are currently in the minority in the unicameral legislature. Muizzu came to power after winning last year’s presidential race. He was a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, there are question marks over his ability to deliver on the ambitious spending cuts needed as tax collection falls in a weak economy.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) -- led by former premier Hun Sen, Hun Manet’s father -- won 120 out of 125 seats in the National Assembly, the lower house, in last July’s…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Separately, regional leaders were somewhat reassured by the modest rapprochement between China and the United States -- influential powers in South-east Asia -- on the margins of…

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