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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 19 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

MIDDLE EAST: Gaza war will weigh on economic outlook

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286533

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Middle East
ME/NAF
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
debt
employment
fiscal
foreign investment
government
growth
poverty
regional
tourism
war
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284724

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
agriculture
banking
debt
exchange rate
fiscal
foreign trade
legislation
monetary
pensions
policy
prices
reform
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, there are question marks over his ability to deliver on the ambitious spending cuts needed as tax collection falls in a weak economy.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 31 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Austerity package will see new contraction

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284926

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
debt
fiscal
government
growth
legislation
prices

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