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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Germany’s trade and supply-chain dependence on China, and its sizeable corporate investments in the country, are at odds with pressure from both Brussels and Washington to take a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 April 2024
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Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

In defiance of expectations following the imposition of severe sanctions, the unemployment rate has hovered around 3.2%. Yet rather than a sign of resilience, low unemployment…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The recession was far shallower than expected; early forecasts had predicted a contraction of up to 10%. However, economic decline will continue into 2023. Unprecedented sanctions…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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Graphic analysis
Publication date: 30 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s exports to the EU have not ceased falling since the Ukraine invasion, whereas the drop in imports soon stopped

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