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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
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Opinion polls suggest another inconclusive parliamentary election outcome, although the right-wing Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) is projected to win the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 April 2024
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The PD has started healing some of the rifts that have divided it for nearly three years. Nevertheless, Prime Minister Edi Rama’s Socialist Party (PS) is favourite to win…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 13 December 2023
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POLAND: New premier promises stronger role in EU
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Executive summary
Publication date: 2 February 2024
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HUNGARY/INTERNATIONAL: Policy shift may not cost Orban
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Executive summary
Publication date: 24 January 2024
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NATO/SWEDEN: Turkish Yes to accession isolates Hungary
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Latvia’s second female prime minister leads an ideologically diverse coalition led by her centrist New Unity (JV) party, and including the left-wing Progressives (PRO) and the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 July 2023
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The election of Rinkevics, who has been Latvia’s foreign minister since 2011, indicates that there will be continuity in setting foreign policy, in which an activist president can…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

After two inconclusive elections, GERB and PP-DB have conditionally agreed to cooperate. The cabinet headed by Nikolay Denkov (PP-DB) ends the long rule by a caretaker…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The far right is making gains in Romania and its neighbour Bulgaria. The rise of AUR and Bulgaria’s populist pro-Russian Revival (Vazrazhdane) party will bolster other extremist…

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