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Long-term refugee problems may mould the Middle East

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Refugees and IDPs who do not return home within six months have a high probability of protracted displacement

Long-term shifts to weaken traditional EU left

Location:

EU

Traditional left-wing parties are struggling for electoral success, despite the economic crisis

Demographics further darken Italy’s economic prospects

Location:

ITALY

An ageing population and weak demand for legal migration pose risks to Italy’s long-term economic outlook

High youth unemployment will destabilise Croatia

Location:

EU

Joblessness is alienating many younger Croats; apathy may play a part in the November 8 elections

Dynamic UK economy will continue to need immigrants

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

A tightening UK labour market has jobs for UK-born as well as foreigners

Anti-immigration parties to shape policy and politics

Location:

EUROPE

Such parties are diverse, but inescapable in many West European states

Language skills are key to integration in Germany

Location:

GERMANY

Activity rates are low for asylum seekers as many do not have the language skills required by employers

EU risks spending 2016 trapped in policy loops

Location:

EU

The EU will find it hard to act on any one of its policy problems without exacerbating another