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Ambitious plans set China's course to 2049

Location:

CHINA

Long-term goals shape thinking of current policymakers in and outside China despite vulnerability to 'black swans'

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

US-China tariffs will prompt supply chain switching

Location:

INT

Industrial policy in both countries aims to stimulate indigenous manufacturing

Joblessness will rise as job-save policies are unwound

Location:

INT

Policies have reduced the damage COVID-19 has done to Western job markets but these temporary schemes have to be unwound

Pandemic deepens impact of global technological gaps

Location:

INT

Although internet use is rising, serious access gaps persist across regions, gender and ethnic groups

Workforce shrinkage will not inevitably push wages up

Location:

INT

Potential workforces are shrinking as populations age and labour participation falls or stagnates in major economies

Internet shutdowns raise risks across Global South

Location:

INT

Governments across the developing world are regularly shutting down online communication to restore political control

Recession risks wider internet infrastructure gap

Location:

INT

Development actors want governments to make the internet more affordable, accessible and reliable; progress is uneven

Big tech’s share of some finance segments will surge

Location:

INT

The network-to-activity loop lets ‘big tech’ firms gain market share quickly, but the loop may be vicious not virtuous