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Succession risks cloud Africa's transition outlook

Location:

AFRICA

Regime stability -- rather than democratic competitiveness -- is a better barometer of smooth political transition

Czech population will rise as others in region fall

Location:

EUROPE

CEE is notoriously depopulated, particularly by emigration, but the most successful transition states buck that trend

Warsaw will continue outstripping other Polish regions

Location:

POLAND

The region around Warsaw is a post-transition success story but every other region in Poland lags the EU average

Budget and climate pressures affect the growth outlook

Location:

INT

OECD economies will be under increasing strain to decarbonise while also keeping their budget balances sustainable

Rising inequalities will increase climate change costs

Location:

INT

Carbon emissions inequality between and within nations fuels internal and multilateral debates about climate funding

Prosperity and sustainability show little correlation

Location:

INT

The mismatch between economic prosperity and environmental sustainability impedes national and global climate action

Succession crisis risk is rising in the Middle East

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The nature of the region's governments makes them highly vulnerable to crisis during power handovers

Tunisia’s Saied will profit from post-2011 failures

Location:

TUNISIA

Rising authoritarianism and dire economic conditions are yet to undercut the president’s electoral prospects

Climate concern is higher in northern EU member states

Location:

EU

There is a striking difference in public concern about climate change between the EU’s north, and its east and south

New harmful trade interventions will fall into 2024

Location:

INT

Trade protectionism grew in 2020 and 2022 due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine