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The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

Markets await the closest French election in years

Location:

FRANCE

Four candidates are polling 18% or more ahead of the April 23 election; two of them are anti-EU, worrying investors

Without radical reform Greece will run up more debt

Location:

GREECE

Decades of fiscal deficits, not just recent indiscipline, piled up Greece's debt mountain

Bullish and bearish China growth view is reconcilable

Location:

CHINA

China analysts are diverging between those growing more negative on the long-run prospects and those remaining bullish

Trump agenda rests on taming fractious House politics

Location:

UNITED STATES

The president threatened to run primary election challengers against Republicans who fail to back compromise legislation

US Fed will hike rates very gradually in 2016

Location:

UNITED STATES

Growth is likely to have slowed at end-2015, raising uncertainties about business momentum heading into 2016

Prospects for emerging economies in 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS 2023

Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) face a cocktail of crises and global tensions will curb remedial action

Many middle-income states face a fragile recovery

Location:

INT

The G20 summit pledged vaccine equity to help low-and-middle-income nations, but not broader economic commitments

Latin America / China development faces reversal

Location:

LATIN AMERICA/CHINA

Chinese raw material demand may be pushing Latin America down the road of commodity dependency