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Rising Argentina poverty brings long-term challenges

Location:

ARGENTINA

Urban poverty rose from 40.1% in the first half of 2023 to 41.7% in the second, with indigence up from 9.3% to 11.9%

Tunisia’s Saied will profit from post-2011 failures

Location:

TUNISIA

Rising authoritarianism and dire economic conditions are yet to undercut the president’s electoral prospects

Moscow needs strong revenue growth to fund spending

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia plans to increase federal revenues and spending to record levels to fund the war in Ukraine

Cheap oil will weigh long-term on top exporters

Location:

INT

OPEC members have so far failed to agree output cuts to boost prices

Nutrition issues carry long-term cost in Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Obesity and malnutrition are rising in the region, as slowing growth sees a rise in poverty

Investing in people is key to a sustainable recovery

Location:

INT

The pandemic has damaged human and social capital; both are key to economic prospects but under-recorded in GDP accounts

German election race could be tighter than expected

Location:

GERMANY

The polls are tightening ahead of Germany’s federal election in September

US spending cut push could come with political costs

Location:

UNITED STATES

President Donald Trump is moving to tackle the rising federal deficit, but this will not be risk-free

Redistribution is key to the future of the workforce

Location:

INT

Technology will raise productivity and living standards; redeployment rather than fear of unemployment must guide policy

Cheap oil risks long-term Middle East stability

Location:

MENA

The oil price slump is straining finances across most of the region, raising the potential for instability down the line