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Brussels may expand its role in foreign policy

Location:

EU

The volatile international environment will provide an incentive for EU member states to act together

Middle East sanctions will mostly misfire

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Trump-Biden policy differences over Iran sanctions highlight a much wider controversy

US sanctions will increase Iran’s dependence on China

Location:

IRAN

A resurgence in global investment deals and oil exports after the 2015 nuclear agreement has left Tehran vulnerable

Pride and politics will push Turkey to recession

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TURKEY

A sudden deterioration in US-Turkish relations has plunged Turkey into a debt and liquidity crisis

Non-US, non-tariff protectionism is rising rapidly

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INT

Fears abound about US-China tariffs, but rising non-US, non-tariff trade nationalism posesa larger threat to world GDP

Western use of targeted sanctions is intensifying

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INTERNATIONAL

Sanctions are an important tool of coercive foreign policy, especially for Western policymakers

Iran deal will have global impact

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MENA

Iran's detente with the West and its reintegration into the world economy should yield significant benefits globally

Middle East summit reflects polarising US diplomacy

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MIDDLE EAST

Many regional and European states failed to send senior officials to a US-sponsored summit to discuss peace and security

US-China cold war is plausible but not imminent

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CHINA/US

Rapidly deteriorating bilateral relations have led some to conclude that a ‘China-US Cold War’ is underway

Tariffs will test not reconfigure global supply chains

Location:

UNITED STATES-CHINA

The United States and China are imposing tariffs on over 50 billion dollars of the other’s imports -- and threaten more