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Risks and opportunities 2021: Global economy

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic and health policies are key to the West and many developing nations emerging swiftly from double-dip recession

Differentiated approach aids emerging market assets

Location:

INT

US GDP upgrades are fuelling price fears and a bond market sell-off, but investors are differentiating more between EMs

Global tensions will spur value chains rethink

Location:

INT

Firms are rethinking their strategies on global value chains, which may change markedly in years to come

Debts could crimp growth prospects in emerging markets

Location:

INT

Debts issued by emerging markets have surged since 2008 and concerns are rising now monetary conditions are tightening

World growth over 3% in 2020 rests on emerging markets

Location:

INT

Around 60% of 2019 global GDP is set to come from emerging markets, and as much as 66% by 2024, but many are fragile

The emerging markets recovery will be fragile

Location:

INT

Economic disruption has lasted longer for EMDCs than for advanced economies and China; this will hinder their prospects

Nigeria will not divert FDI from South Africa

Location:

AF

Divergent strengths and weakness will determine how Africa's largest economies emerge from the recent growth wobble

Car-driven Central-East European economies risk smash

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Record Czech car output could go unsold if another slump in Western Europe prompts buyers to delay new car purchases

Geopolitics, supply stress and rate rises will hit GDP

Location:

INT

The outlook is softening as Ukraine war impacts will aggravate supply chain disruptions and tighter financial conditions

The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise