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Global spending needs will undermine austerity call

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INT

The IMF urges “decisive fiscal consolidation” to guard public budgets and rebuild buffers, but spending needs will rise

Demography could time-limit China's ascendancy

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INT

Sizeable economic and population shifts will occur among the largest economies in coming decades

Wealth shifts across ages will exacerbate inequalities

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INT

Huge wealth transfers from those currently over 60 to the under-60s in the coming decades will have broad implications

Weak long-run growth raises risks to the world economy

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INTERNATIONAL

Global GDP will grow by less this decade than the past unless there is a surprise uptick in productivity

Global house prices have firm but fragile momentum

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INT

Advanced markets’ average real house prices are almost back to the pre-2008/09 crisis peak; emerging markets’ are ahead

Demography and past austerity raise the COVID-19 risks

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INT

COVID-19 particularly threatens the elderly; ageing populations and years of post-crisis austerity leave nations at risk

Demographic trends will shape economic prospects

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INT

Transforming the world economy by 2040, working-age population growth will come almost entirely from lower-income states

Ponderous policies mean integration will lag migration

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INT

Migration will worry European Parliament election voters in May, but policy can adapt to use inbound workers effectively

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

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INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

London’s large economic lead over EU cities may narrow

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INT

Global power and financial centres indices for 2017 show London maintains a huge lead over other EU cities