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Trade performance will be key to the recovery of GDP

Location:

INT

GDP contracted across the world in the second quarter and the shape and size of recession varied widely by region

Pandemic response threatens climate funding shortfall

Location:

INT

Low- and middle-income states must spend more than 1% of GDP a year on environmental protection but budgets may narrow

Demographic trends will shape economic prospects

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INT

Transforming the world economy by 2040, working-age population growth will come almost entirely from lower-income states

Emerging markets growing old faster than growing rich

Location:

INT

Emerging markets are ageing at lower incomes than advanced markets, a policy challenge that will influence GDP prospects

World growth over 3% in 2020 rests on emerging markets

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INT

Around 60% of 2019 global GDP is set to come from emerging markets, and as much as 66% by 2024, but many are fragile

Big tech’s share of some finance segments will surge

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INT

The network-to-activity loop lets ‘big tech’ firms gain market share quickly, but the loop may be vicious not virtuous

Differentiated approach aids emerging market assets

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INT

US GDP upgrades are fuelling price fears and a bond market sell-off, but investors are differentiating more between EMs

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

Location:

INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

Insufficient infrastructure risks dampening global GDP

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INT

The world needs to spend almost 100 trillion dollars on infrastructure by 2040, equivalent to five times US GDP

Official aid is under pressure; private aid is growing

Location:

INT

Large US budget cuts risk squeezing public foreign aid, but more private co-funding may fill some of the gap