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Russia is winning the energy war with Ukraine

Location:

UKRAINE

Russia and Ukraine have struck each other’s energy infrastructure, with Moscow inflicting the most damage

COVID-19 threatens long fiscal shadow for US states

Location:

UNITED STATES

Due to COVID-19 business lockdowns, states’ projected tax incomes have fallen

Investing in people is key to a sustainable recovery

Location:

INT

The pandemic has damaged human and social capital; both are key to economic prospects but under-recorded in GDP accounts

Regional inequality may widen as China’s GDP recovers

Location:

CHINA

Local governments will spend trillions of renminbi to aid GDP and jobs, but the scope to add productive capacity varies

US spending cut push could come with political costs

Location:

UNITED STATES

President Donald Trump is moving to tackle the rising federal deficit, but this will not be risk-free

Multiple risks threaten Nigeria’s economic recovery

Location:

NIGERIA

Political and security risks will overshadow Abuja’s attempts at a rebound

Rising debt will expose Africa to interest rate shocks

Location:

AFRICA

Debt has risen to dangerous proportions; costlier payments will constrain indebted countries as monetary policy tightens

Stimulating skills is key to emerging markets growth

Location:

INT

Human capital will become as key to low-to-mid-income countries as it is for high-income ones

Green New Deal will energise both parties’ 2020 pushes

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Green New Deal calls for massive social, economic and energy reform including net-zero US emissions in ten years

Latin America growth gloom persists

Location:

LATAM

With modest exceptions, GDP forecasts for Latin America and the Caribbean continue to decline for this year and next