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Conservative factionalism will shape Iran’s policies

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IRAN

The new conservative president is walking a fine balance between hard-line conservative demands and pragmatic compromises as regards negotiations on a revival of the 2015…

Palestinian media freedom is heavily constrained

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PALESTINIANS

Actions by Palestinian and Israeli authorities have suppressed media freedom and freedom of expression in the West Bank and Gaza (WBG) in the last 15 months. This has restricted…

Iran’s women’s rights movement will be contested

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IRAN

Although this remains against the law, he said police enforcement could lead to a "wide-scale negative reaction". An ongoing Iranian conversation about economic and political…

Erdogan will target enemies at home and abroad

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TURKEY

Erdogan has accused President Emmanuel Macron of being anti-Islamic in his championing of secularism after a French teacher’s murder for showing cartoons offensive to Muslims…

Growing refugee debate ups pressure on Erdogan

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TURKEY

Erdogan is partly motivated by domestic alarm at the prospect of more Afghan refugees, which has heightened discontent over his policies regarding migration and the large, mainly…

Algeria's energy wealth will help weaken the Hirak

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ALGERIA

The COVID-19 pandemic and energy revenues in 2021-22 allowed Algerian authorities effectively to weaken the Hirak movement -- the large-scale popular protests that demanded the…

Iran protests not yet pointing to government collapse

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IRAN

The crackdown is part of attempts to suppress the five-week-old nationwide protests following the death of a student, Mahsa Amini. These anti-government protests have outlasted…

Rivals will use tribes to destabilise Syria’s Raqqa

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SYRIA

Some 80% of the city, which was the de facto capital of Islamic State (IS) until its capture by the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), was ruined in fighting and…

Online activism will cross Maghreb national divides

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NORTH AFRICA

For a quarter of a century, tensions between national governments in North Africa (notably between Morocco and Algeria, over the Western Sahara conflict) have obstructed regional…

Hagia Sofia decision will deepen Turkey’s estrangement

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TURKEY

After 86 years, the 6th-century Byzantine basilica, a world-famous museum, has been restored for full use by Sunni Muslim worshippers. Although tourists may still have access…