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Creditors will seek geopolitical gains in debt talks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Whereas developed economies and China have benefited from USD9tn in fiscal stimulus and USD5tn in liquidity, EMs have less scope because they cannot issue local-currency debt…

Indonesia-Australia rifts will slowly heal

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INDONESIA/AUSTRALIA

He was accompanied on his trip by several senior ministers and business leaders. Canberra and Jakarta are long-standing partners, but various sore points have in recent years…

Taiwan's economy will slow, but not by much

Location:

TAIWAN

This is thanks to its extraordinarily successful countermeasures against COVID-19 and also to its key role in the global semiconductor industry. However, starting in April this…

China looms large over South-east Asia’s Mekong states

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The Mekong flows through China and the five mainland South-east Asian states -- Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam. Earlier this month, China belatedly informed the…

India will step up economic engagement with Nepal

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INDIA/NEPAL

This was his first trip to the country since beginning his fifth stint as premier last year. Delhi and Kathmandu are keen to increase connectivity and cooperation despite a border…

UK foreign policy is looking towards the Indo-Pacific

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UNITED KINGDOM

Public statements by Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab have made clear that an ‘Indo-Pacific tilt’ -- focusing more effort and resources on the region “east from India” -- will be…

Samia’s foreign policy will buy goodwill for Tanzania

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TANZANIA

Samia’s administration appears markedly more open on foreign policy issues, although there are growing concerns this may not be matched by any greater openness towards domestic…

Virus second wave will derail Greek budget forecasts

Location:

GREECE

The official baseline is for an 8.2% GDP contraction in 2020, and a 7.5% rebound in 2021. It took into account moderate restrictions on movement in winter 2020/21, but the…

Cambodia’s Hun Sen faces resistance to succession plan

Location:

CAMBODIA

He said Hun Manet would have to be elected to the post. The next general election is due in 2023. Hun Manet is currently deputy commander-in-chief of the armed forces and part of…

Prospects for US politics in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…