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Prospects for Iran in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The government will seek to boost turnout without opening up any more political or social space, and conservatives will maintain their thorough monopoly of power. However…

Prospects for Iraq to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for Iraq to end-2019.

Prospects for Iran to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Iran to end-2018.

Oman and Bahrain are the most vulnerable Gulf states

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BAHRAIN/OMAN

Oman and Bahrain, already struggling with rising public debt levels and high fiscal deficits, are in the most exposed medium-term position.

Prospects for the Middle East in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for the Middle East in the fourth quarter.

Philippine leader faces tough challenge on prices

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PHILIPPINES

The fall appears linked to public discontent over elevated inflation, which has clouded the country's economic outlook. Meanwhile, the government is moving slower than it…

Iran-Saudi Arabia tensions will increase instability

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IRAN/SAUDI ARABIA

This followed a marked intensification of hostile verbal exchanges between Iranian and Saudi officials and religious leaders in the weeks leading up to the annual pilgrimage to…

Yemen’s divided south faces security and economic woes

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YEMEN

The STC and the internationally recognised government of President Abd Rabbu Mansur Hadi established an uneasy power-sharing cabinet in December 2020. This enabled them to boost…

High oil prices improve Bahrain’s economic outlook

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BAHRAIN

Bahrain’s economic prospects have improved dramatically following the surge in world commodity prices in recent months. Strong oil and aluminium revenues have boosted the fiscal…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Separately, the recent Taliban takeover of Afghanistan was a strategic win, given the military-security establishment’s long-standing support for the group. The Taliban’s 'Haqqani…