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CAI threatens to undermine EU-US cooperation on China

Location:

EU/CHINA

Under the CAI, which is the first economic agreement between the EU and China, Beijing made most of the concessions in order to get a deal agreed before US President Joe Biden’s…

Chances for negotiated Serbia-Kosovo deal are fading

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KOSOVO

The Kosovan government imposed a 10% tariff on imports from Serbia and Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) on November 6, frustrated at their refusal to recognise Kosovo’s independence…

Easing of tensions will prove temporary in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

Speculation around some form of military intervention to remove President Nicolas Maduro has subsided, with a stepping up of international efforts to find a negotiated solution to…

No backstop or no deal is Ireland’s Brexit dilemma

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UK/IRELAND/EU

Despite the increasing risk and the implications of a no-deal Brexit, Ireland and the EU remain united in support of the main issue preventing a Brexit deal, the backstop.

World order and US role will endure, for now

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US/INT

Trump’s vision of world order challenges the post-war consensus of US leadership across the post-1945 multilateral global institutions, of which the UN is one. Trump favours more…

Serbia will not substitute China for EU

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SERBIA

Serbia’s supposed turn towards China.

Prospects for US politics in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…

Thai military will try to avoid launching a coup

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THAILAND

Beyond calling for Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha’s resignation, protesters have been challenging the military’s influence on politics and demanding reform of the monarchy. King…

UK government will look to re-set its agenda

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UNITED KINGDOM

The departure opens up new possibilities for the government’s future policy agenda in issues such as Brexit, relations with the EU and domestic policy, as well the prime…

Latvia’s unwieldy new government will be reform-averse

Location:

LATVIA

Latvia’s second female prime minister leads an ideologically diverse coalition led by her centrist New Unity (JV) party, and including the left-wing Progressives (PRO) and the…