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US real interest rates are likely to return to trend

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Real interest rates -- which matter more for economic activity -- remain negative. Real rates have been declining for centuries. While they are currently negative, this could…

More nations will issue ultra-long sovereign bonds

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INTERNATIONAL

Ultra-long government bonds.

Large US household balance sheets pose macro risks

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UNITED STATES

An examination of the factors behind the expansion indicates that outsized balance sheets will persist and will pose a number of macroeconomic risks.

More negative-yield bonds raise euro-area bank risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Negative yields.

Monetary policy will remain loose in Central Europe

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Factors keeping monetary policy loose, despite stronger growth.

Renewed ECB easing places further pressure on banks

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EU

ECB easing.

Political pressure on Turkey's Central Bank will go on

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TURKEY

The CBRT is expected to respond at its regular monthly interest rate-setting meeting to the fall in inflation in January to 7.2%. However, while the nearly 50% slide in oil…

Further South African interest rate cuts are unlikely

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SOUTH AFRICA

South African inflation dynamics.

Interest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Fed and ECB seem set to diverge, with the latter expected to cut rates in June. There is a rising prospect, bolstered by the resilient US labour market and Middle East…

Modern monetary theory offers few novelities

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INT

Modern monetary theory.