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COVID-19 stimulus will fall far short in Africa

Location:

AFRICA

Impact of COVID-19 on African economies.

Income inequality will worsen in Taiwan

Location:

TAIWAN

A widening income gap, coupled with a sluggish economy over the past two years, will be a disadvantage for the ruling Democratic Progressive Party in Taiwan’s presidential…

The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

Slower Polish growth may upset 2019 budget targets

Location:

POLAND

With a two-year electoral cycle getting under way, the PiS government may be tempted to increase social spending. The stronger-than-expected economic outturn in the first half of…

Russian budget constraints will force hard choices

Location:

RUSSIA

Policy differences reflected in Russian budget debate

Castro reforms set to slow in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

Rapprochement and reform efforts.

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

Location:

ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

Creditors will seek geopolitical gains in debt talks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Whereas developed economies and China have benefited from USD9tn in fiscal stimulus and USD5tn in liquidity, EMs have less scope because they cannot issue local-currency debt…

Turkish go-it-alone policy raises currency crunch risk

Location:

TURKEY

It has fallen from about 6.50 at end-March and 5.95 at end-2019. There is speculation about a possible balance of payments crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic, economic…

Guatemala’s economy looks set to bounce back next year

Location:

GUATEMALA

The economic damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will be less severe than in other parts of Latin America. It is nevertheless weighing on activity, with structural weaknesses…