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Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

Syriza is likely to win autumn elections in Greece

Location:

GREECE

The reforms will allow the release of fresh funding for banks and a bridging loan to meet debt obligations to the IMF and ECB. A quarter of Syriza deputies rebelled, but…

Greek debt deal will bring fresh elections soon

Location:

GREECE

The new programme will support recapitalisation of the banking system, allow orderly -- rather than fire-sale -- divestment of state-owned assets and promote liberalisation of the…

Economic outlook is improving in Barbados

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BARBADOS

Barbados economic outlook.

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

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EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

Estonia’s continuity government faces hurdles

Location:

ESTONIA

Kallas, who expects to take up the post of EU foreign policy chief, leaves behind a struggling economy and an unpopular government. Nonetheless, Michal’s government looks set to…

EU recovery fund will be vital for fiscal reform

Location:

EU

Reform is needed if hard-hit, highly indebted countries are to pursue pro-growth policies over the coming years. The extent of reform will depend on a number of factors…

Reform resistance may lead to fresh Greek election

Location:

GREECE

Greece's bailout.

Policy will strain the German pension system

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GERMANY

Germany’s pension system.