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UK trade and investment will be vulnerable to Brexit

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

UK economic prospects against the backdrop of the Brexit negotiations

Further South African interest rate cuts are unlikely

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

South African inflation dynamics.

Croatian elections will end spell of weak government

Location:

CROATIA

The party succeeded in increasing its representation, provisionally winning 66 out of the 151 seats in parliament, despite its two terms in government. The result constitutes a…

Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

Location:

GREECE

The prospects for Greek departure from the euro-area.

Laos is at growing risk of sovereign debt default

Location:

LAOS

According to a debt sustainability analysis published by the IMF in May, Laos is in debt distress. Years of rapid growth in borrowing to fund infrastructure development…

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

Syriza is likely to win autumn elections in Greece

Location:

GREECE

The reforms will allow the release of fresh funding for banks and a bridging loan to meet debt obligations to the IMF and ECB. A quarter of Syriza deputies rebelled, but…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

Location:

ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Russian farms perform well but face challenges

Location:

RUSSIA

State-supported substitution of banned Western foodstuffs has boosted agriculture, which in 2016 enjoyed its most successful year in the post-Soviet period. Both the wheat harvest…

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2022.