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Tariffs can no longer mask broader economic weakness

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INTERNATIONAL

Global economic activity is deteriorating widely. This is despite the fact that the US-China trade conflict is not escalating, China is loosening fiscal policy and the United…

Firmer forecasts for 2020 world growth are unrealistic

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INTERNATIONAL

Trade activity has been sharply downgraded: five years ago, the Fund expected 5.6% trade volumes growth this year. Now it sees 1.1%, one-third of the pace it forecast in April…

Prospects for the global economy in 2016

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PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for the global economy in 2016.

Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020.

Blaming slower GDP on trade risks missing other perils

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INTERNATIONAL

Some of the downside risks the April WEO highlighted have materialised, while the FSR sees higher risks to financial stability. The explanations prioritise trade but many other…

Global rebalancing to support sustainable growth

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INTERNATIONAL

Risks to its central scenario are more balanced and less skewed to the downside. Global imbalances are shrinking, partly thanks to low oil prices. This is boosting disposable…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

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INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Coal faces continuing challenges

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INTERNATIONAL

Cyclical and structural headwinds undermine confidence in coal.

Prospects for fossil fuels to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for fossil fuels to end-2017.

Rapid Chinese refinery growth will cap alumina prices

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INTERNATIONAL

Global alumina and bauxite markets.