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Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

CIS economic group will help Russia weather sanctions

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CIS

Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed the opening ceremony by video link, hailing the “irresistible” trend towards multipolarity and economic globalisation. The forum discussed…

Baku and Tbilisi will be main threat to EU power plan

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CAUCASUS

A series of Black Sea connectivity projects is a promising development for both the South Caucasus and the EU. Georgian electricity exports could play a part in reducing European…

Iran impact on global oil market will be slow

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INT/IRAN

This drop reflected concerns over China's slowdown, fears that Greece would be forced to leave the euro-area, and the agreement of a deal between Iran and the P5+1 powers (five…

Russian oil will survive sanctions but not thrive

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RUSSIA

Impact of old and new sanctions on Russia's oil industry

EU expects return as it offers more to Western Balkans

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EU/BALKANS

The EU is increasingly worried about the region. It is offering various financial and political rewards, but the EU’s leverage is weakened by continued equivocation on the…

EU Energy Plan faces two-year uphill battle

Location:

EU

The proposals are the latest in a long line of attempts to establish a more integrated approach to energy policy within the EU and greater coordination of energy diplomacy with…

Belarusian need for Russia will limit angry disputes

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BELARUS/RUSSIA

Belarus is defying Russia with varying success. It has scored a win by securing aircraft purchases rather than handing over air bases, but is hamstrung by oil and gas disputes…

US-Cypriot warming may restart Turkish gas prospecting

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CYPRUS

This is the most significant upgrade in US-Cyprus relations since the ban was imposed in 1987, and marks a definitive shift for Cyprus from Russia to the West. However, the…

Europe’s Three Seas Initiative will make slow progress

Location:

EUROPE

The war in Ukraine has highlighted 3SI, a project that aims to raise investment in Central-Eastern Europe, as a means to build resilience on the eastern flank of the EU and NATO…