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Erdogan’s ambitions will strain EU ties further

Location:

TURKEY/FRANCE

Rising tensions over the conflict in Libya have produced a severe crisis in French-Turkish ties and threaten to exacerbate strains in Ankara’s relations with the EU. By placing…

Astana partnership over Syria can survive tests

Location:

SYRIA

Idlib is the location of a nominal de-escalation zone brokered by Russia and Turkey last September. Those countries, along with Iran, held a summit in the Kazakh capital…

EU will pursue North Africa migration deals

Location:

EUROPE

EU-North Africa migration deals.

Russia risks mission creep as Syrian rebels dig in

Location:

SYRIA

Since the start of Russian airstrikes last September, the rebels have suffered their largest territorial loss to the regime in two years. The new counter-insurgent strategy…

A new accommodation over Syria’s Idlib is probable

Location:

SYRIA

Last week, a second major rebel counterattack cut the road between Suqaylabiyah and Muhradah, two strongholds of paramilitaries supportive of President Bashar al-Assad. Rebels’…

Kurds will try to keep Iraq out of the Gaza conflict

Location:

IRAQ

The Gaza conflict has led to a resurgence of attacks by Iran-backed armed groups on US forces, breaking the earlier unofficial truce. Some of those attacks have targeted bases in…

Turkish-Emirati easing will miss full rapprochement

Location:

TURKEY/UAE

This was the culmination of months of backchannel talks between two of the Middle East’s bitterest rivals. It is intended to help reduce bilateral tensions and facilitate further…

Jordan will seek Syrian regime help on border security

Location:

SYRIA/JORDAN

Jordan's Syria policy.

Turkey's Kurds will be angry if HDP is not re-elected

Location:

TURKEY

The process looks in danger. Serious local conflicts in south-eastern Turkey are straining tensions between Kurds and the government, even though guerrilla warfare has not…

Contested Syrian oil will have limited economic impact

Location:

SYRIA

This depreciation reflects the underlying weakness of the government’s financial position. Political and territorial advances in favour of President Bashar al-Assad -- most…