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Symbolic support for LGBT will grow in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

As Russia has increased its anti-LGBT campaign at home and abroad, the neighbouring Baltic countries have opted to promote equality. However, right-wing populist parties across…

Open Greek-Turkish conflict will probably be avoided

Location:

GREECE

He was speaking ahead of visits to Rome, Malta and Algiers, and against the background of talks with non-permanent members of the UN Security Council, over the territorial dispute…

Abu Dhabi will pivot to ‘soft power’ security policies

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

UAE military engagement abroad since the 1990s has earned it the nickname ‘Little Sparta’. Its activities included a lengthy mission alongside NATO forces in Afghanistan and…

Recovery of Russian consumption is likely to moderate

Location:

RUSSIA

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:

EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

Armenia and Azerbaijan will import more arms

Location:

ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

France announced in November that it would deliver armoured vehicles to Armenia, prompting protests from Azerbaijan. The news threatens the tentative negotiations taking place…

NATO will integrate Ukraine gradually

Location:

NATO

Intensified cooperation with NATO, including arms transfers and intelligence sharing, has led to a significant upgrade of Ukraine’s military capabilities and capacity to fight…

Prospects for Syria to end-2017

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2017

PROSPECTS H2 2017: Syria.

Armenia will avoid severing ties with Russia

Location:

ARMENIA

Relations with Moscow have become even more strained since the September 2023 fall of Nagorno-Karabakh, compounding the shock caused by Russia failing to protect Armenia from…