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Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

Location:

GREECE

The prospects for Greek departure from the euro-area.

External factors will slow Greek GDP growth next year

Location:

GREECE

The economy is on track to grow by 5.3% year-on-year in 2022, outperforming market expectations for the second year in a row. In a sign of its recovery, Greece left the EU's…

Poland's economic outlook will be uncertain under PiS

Location:

POLAND

Amid an ongoing constitutional crisis, the Law and Justice (PiS) government, which was sworn into office on November 16, has been busy revising fiscal targets and agreeing draft…

Creditors will monitor Greek social spending closely

Location:

GREECE

EU budget surveillance.

Budget will stabilise Portugal's minority government

Location:

PORTUGAL

The Portuguese government presented its 2017 budget to parliament on October 14. The EU agreed in August to waive fines over its excessive budget deficits, but Portugal remains…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

All sides set conditions for Greek debt breakthrough

Location:

GREECE

The IMF insists that Greece’s debt must be made sustainable before it will again participate in programme financing. Yet IMF participation is required if the bailout plan is to…

New Greek government right or left will undo austerity

Location:

GREECE

The Syriza government, trailing by a margin of around 10 percentage points (pp), has abandoned its commitment to creditors to reduce pensions and taxes in exchange for debt relief…

Greek coalition will play politics at debt talks

Location:

GREECE

The government, with half an eye on a snap election, is determined not to accede to prolonged austerity without the trade-off of significant debt relief. Timing is all. The…

Dinar ban will damage EU-led Kosovo-Serbia dialogue

Location:

KOSOVO

A Central Bank regulation reaffirming the euro as sole legal tender has alarmed Kosovo’s Serbs who see it as a direct threat to their existence and is jeopardising already complex…