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Argentine economic morass will hit Macri's prospects

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ARGENTINA

Although eight polling firms had given opposition candidate Alberto Fernandez an edge of 2-8 percentage points (pp) over Macri, the final result showed a difference of over 15 pp…

Policies curbing climate shocks will be stagflationary

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INTERNATIONAL

Stagflationary green policies.

Syriza sets collision course with Greece's creditors

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GREECE

The left-right coalition will secure tomorrow's parliamentary vote of confidence, having 162 seats in the 300-seat house. However, its two parties -- Coalition of the Radical…

Sri Lanka president is unlikely to win another term

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SRI LANKA

Incumbent Ranil Wickremesinghe seeks another term, this time as an independent rather than a representative of his United National Party (UNP). A recent survey on voting…

South Africa may struggle to meet renewables targets

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SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa generates around 80% of its electricity from coal and has suffered regular power shortages over recent years due to declining performance at its ageing coal-fired…

Macron faces political risks over French fiscal woes

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FRANCE

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Massa rallies but Argentina run-off remains open

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ARGENTINA

The Massa-Milei run-off was widely expected but the result of the October 22 first round was less so, with Massa receiving 36.7% of the vote to nearly 30.0% for Milei. Much will…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

EU fiscal rule reform will raise member-state tensions

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EU

Debt and deficit rules have failed. Fiscal policy has become a matter of negotiation between the Commission and EU countries, with the former's judgement mattering more than…

Fiscal framework will aim for sustainability

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BRAZIL

The framework’s goal is to give the government flexibility to implement its policy commitments, including the Bolsa Familia welfare programme and increased minimum wages and…