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Somalia’s debt relief process creates political risks

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SOMALIA

The government has made significant progress in enacting critical reforms and legislation to support the management of public finances, but serious questions over their…

Mopani deal will exacerbate Zambia's debt crisis

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ZAMBIA

This boosts President Edgar Lungu's re-election prospects in August, but ZCCM-IH will struggle to find a 'strategic partner' to replace Glencore. Mounting public debt will…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

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ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Puerto Rican politics will not lead to debt solution

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PUERTO RICO

The island is in a debt crisis, with the governor acknowledging that it cannot pay off all its debt. While the overall debt burden is not excessive by national standards, a…

Dominican Republic growth to slow but remain robust

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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

The Dominican Republic economy.

Angola's onshore oil gamble unlikely to pay off

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ANGOLA

A BP project will deliver a temporary production boost when it comes onstream later this year, but Angola needs other foreign energy companies to sanction new greenfield…

Italy’s BRI pact will be measured by domestic politics

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ITALY/CHINA

Italy-China relations.

Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

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BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

External factors will slow Greek GDP growth next year

Location:

GREECE

The economy is on track to grow by 5.3% year-on-year in 2022, outperforming market expectations for the second year in a row. In a sign of its recovery, Greece left the EU's…