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Saudi subsidy reforms unlikely to spark major protests

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Political impact of subsidy reform.

Further South African interest rate cuts are unlikely

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SOUTH AFRICA

South African inflation dynamics.

Singapore will keep up pressure on Moscow

Location:

SINGAPORE

Other South-east Asian countries also backed the resolution and have, like Singapore, criticised the war. However, the city-state is the only regional player to impose financial…

More reforms will follow thin Uruguay referendum win

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URUGUAY

The result was narrow, allowing for different readings by the government and opposition. While the government celebrated the support for the reform package, the opposition was…

Vazquez coalition will battle austere Uruguay budget

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URUGUAY

Factional pressures within the governing coalition.

Inflation will impede East Asia's economic recovery

Location:

EAST ASIA

China, Japan and South Korea are no exceptions, but their inflation rates and policies differ from those in North America and Europe. How they address the challenge and how far…

Economic success will elude Macri in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The 2018 currency crisis left the economy in one of the deepest downturns of the last decade, repeating the cyclical pattern in place since 2011 of one year of growth followed by…

Inflation expectations matter more than unemployment

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The surge in inflation this year owes more to supply bottlenecks caused by the release of pent-up demand than to falling unemployment. In the decade before the pandemic, US…

Varying economic performance metrics muddy the outlook

Location:

UNITED STATES

Estimates of income rather than output, of household rather than firms' employment, and of real rather than nominal wages often diverge, but the gap has widened since the…

Hungarian monetary policy risks disorderly forint fall

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

This is despite a spike in core inflation. The three central banks of Central Europe (CE) are on a loosening cycle, responding aggressively to the COVID-19-induced collapse in…