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Myanmar military will retain edge over key opponent

Location:

MYANMAR

The military regime continues to crack down on anti-coup protesters. The National Unity Government (NUG) -- a parallel administration established by ousted lawmakers and other…

Yemen’s humanitarian crisis will worsen

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YEMEN

The impact of the Russia-Ukraine war is worsening the existing humanitarian crisis. Already 17 million of Yemen's 30 million people are living at an emergency level of food…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

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MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…

Prospects for Ukraine in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

None is easily resolvable and President Volodymyr Zelensky's administration is not faring well. More than a year after Zelensky’s double election wins, it is increasingly apparent…

Islamic State may see a limited Iraq-Syria resurgence

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IRAQ/SYRIA

Enabled in part by responses to the pandemic, 2020 saw a temporary surge in IS assaults across rural areas of Iraq and Syria. Attacks have also again become more coordinated and…

Rival Yemen governments face distinct, deep challenges

Location:

YEMEN

Most countries, and the UN Security Council, reserve international recognition for Hadi’s government-in-exile in Riyadh. The rival Huthi-led National Salvation Government (NSG) in…

Synthetic drug krokodil could ravage conflict zones

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INTERNATIONAL

Known as 'a poor man's heroin', the potent and harmful homemade krokodil has reached North America, although most of its use so far is in Russia and neighbouring states.

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023.