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Public spending will drive growth in Romania

Location:

ROMANIA

Investment in infrastructure has offered opportunities for economic expansion despite shrinking exports, weak consumption, inflation and high interest rates. Romania’s positive…

Poland's pension reform may undermine public finances

Location:

POLAND

The zloty resumed a depreciating trend on July 4, following the announcement of radical pension reform by Development Minister Mateusz Morawiecki. A combination of investor…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

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INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

East European growth in 2023 will be modest at best

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EASTERN EUROPE

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

Prospects for the global economy in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

PROSPECTS 2018: Global economy

Prospects for the global economy to end-2020

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PROSPECTS 2020 H2

COVID-19 dominates the scenarios for the next six months, which range from a swift sharp recovery to another dramatic fall in activity. Policy responses, financial markets…

The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

Poland's economic outlook will be uncertain under PiS

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POLAND

Amid an ongoing constitutional crisis, the Law and Justice (PiS) government, which was sworn into office on November 16, has been busy revising fiscal targets and agreeing draft…

Ethiopia’s vaunted economic success may falter

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia's economic outlook

Rousseff's Brazil reforms risk running onto the rocks

Location:

BRAZIL

President Dilma Rousseff is seeking economic reforms and fiscal adjustment to increase Brazil's international competitiveness, focussing on improving infrastructure, human capital…