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Even gradual quantitative tightening raises GDP risks

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Quantitative easing and GDP.

Excess euro-area liquidity raises bank lending risks

Location:

EU

The ECB stopped purchasing bonds this month after running its asset purchase programme (APP) since March 2015. The APP flooded commercial banks with liquidity in excess of their…

Pressure is growing on the ECB to make a rate change

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EU

She repeated her determination to respond through a mix of different instruments ('optionality'), in a conservative manner ('gradualism'), and using as much leeway as her mandate…

High inflation will slow Czech economyʼs recovery

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CZECH REPUBLIC

The economy is in ‘technical recessionʼ, having contracted in two consecutive quarters. This is mainly due to falling household consumption, stemming from rapid inflation and the…

Investors rotate into Europe ahead of French run-off

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INTERNATIONAL

Optimism that the centrist candidate and frontrunner, Emmanuel Macron, will win the French presidential election run-off on May 7 is contributing to inflows into European stock…

Post-election Argentine economy appears unsustainable

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ARGENTINA

However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…

Japan’s wage hikes will expand income gaps

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JAPAN

Elevating stagnant wages is Tokyo’s top priority and anti-deflation tool, necessary in creating a virtuous cycle of rising prices and incomes that boosts economic growth.

Private-sector credit squeeze hits Argentine recovery

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ARGENTINA

The government has continued to absorb banks’ liquidity to close the fiscal deficit, with most private investors reluctant to finance the Treasury. The decline in demand for…

Near-term financial market virus fears will be strong

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INTERNATIONAL

More than 80,000 cases have been confirmed in China, and almost 10,000 cases in 68 other countries across six continents. The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) benchmark…

Azerbaijan must adjust to less oil at lower prices

Location:

AZERBAIJAN

Negative trends in Azerbaijan's economy.