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Liberia's Weah will struggle to stifle dissent

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LIBERIA

The president’s utterances mark a shift from his previous calls for a roundtable dialogue with opposition protest leaders, who on June 7 organised the largest mass protest since…

Third-term bid by Guinea's Conde will widen fractures

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GUINEA

With legislative elections pending since January, current lawmakers’ mandate was controversially extended following a decree by Conde. The opposition and civil society groups…

Zimbabwe economic pressures will linger

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ZIMBABWE

Since its introduction in February, the local real-time gross settlement (RTGS) dollar, a de facto new local currency, has lost over 60% of its value relative to the US dollar on…

Prospects for Nigeria in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

These shocks will sustain already heightened reform pressures on the government during a period of diminishing public revenue. Security crises across various states and regions…

Gabonese government reassurances will ring hollow

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GABON

The president’s health troubles and prolonged absence have created a political crisis and fears of institutional instability. With the economy struggling amid declining oil…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…

Economic realities will trump Angolan oil and gas plan

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ANGOLA

Crucial to the new framework's success will be the ongoing overhaul of state-owned oil company Sonangol, alongside an oil price recovery, as well as politically contentious fuel…

Coalition poll victory will boost Senegal's president

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SENEGAL

The ruling coalition won a projected 42 out of 45 electoral departments, including the capital, Dakar, a stronghold of imprisoned mayor Khalifa Sall (no relation). The coalition…

Poor Nigerian state finances portend political clashes

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NIGERIA

Nigerian state finances.