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Nigerian energy reforms may track wider openings

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NIGERIA

Yet worsening macroeconomic conditions amid the COVID-19 pandemic, including a fall in oil prices and declining foreign currency reserves, have forced President Muhammadu Buhari’s…

Colombia tax reform and budget will be watered down

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COLOMBIA

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

Polish government’s Russia scare campaign may backfire

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POLAND

Political parties are looking for effective strategies ahead of the October elections. PiS aims to attract voters through generous welfare spending but also take on former Prime…

Coup claims may bode ill for Zambia’s opposition

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ZAMBIA

Recent successful coups in West and Central Africa have raised fears this might embolden militaries elsewhere to seize power. However, Zambia is a well-established democracy where…

Inflation will drive social pressures in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

President Alberto Fernandez has appointed new social development and labour ministers, Victoria Tolosa Paz and Raquel Olmos, following the resignations of their predecessors amid…

Tunisian labour union is moving towards opposition

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TUNISIA

Tunis has been in negotiations with the IMF for a new package all year. The government needs the UGTT’s support to implement any IMF deal, but relations between government and…

Moroccans face more political and economic stagnation

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MOROCCO

Although the economy is still faring better than others in North Africa, public discontent has increased. Significant segments of the population, especially in rural areas, are…

Zimbabwe economic pressures will linger

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ZIMBABWE

Since its introduction in February, the local real-time gross settlement (RTGS) dollar, a de facto new local currency, has lost over 60% of its value relative to the US dollar on…

Prospects for Nigeria in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

These shocks will sustain already heightened reform pressures on the government during a period of diminishing public revenue. Security crises across various states and regions…

Armenian leader will fight on despite Karabakh defeat

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ARMENIA

This completes the handover of Armenian-held territories around Nagorno-Karabakh, in a deal signed by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. The agreement amounts to a defeat…