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Economic woes will dampen investor confidence in Laos

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LAOS

Issues such as soaring inflation, currency depreciation and debt repayment problems are having a major impact on the economy. The World Bank estimates that GDP grew by 3.7% in…

Turkey's economic policy shift is not worth the risks

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TURKEY

The lira’s collapse has only fortified President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s adherence to unorthodox low-interest-rate policies. Rather than changing course, Erdogan has publicly…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Cheap oil will not bridge Turkey's external gap

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TURKEY

Turkey's external balances in 2016.

Angolan government will point to early reform progress

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ANGOLA

The underperformance of the oil sector, coupled with a recent fuel distribution crisis, have combined to dampen growth forecasts for 2019. While President Joao Lourenco’s…

Liberia's Weah will struggle to stifle dissent

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LIBERIA

The president’s utterances mark a shift from his previous calls for a roundtable dialogue with opposition protest leaders, who on June 7 organised the largest mass protest since…

Hungary’s economic policy needs fundamental change

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HUNGARY

The hike follows a 185-bp rise two weeks ago that failed to stem the forint sliding to low point of HUF417:EUR1. Inflation continues its steady rise, to 11.7% year-on-year in…

Prospects for Central America/Caribbean in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Central America and the Caribbean in 2018.

Angola mounting debt burden raises future default risk

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ANGOLA

The IMF's willingness to turn a blind eye may enable Angola to retain access to concessional finance over the next 18 months; however, Luanda needs a plan to address deferred…

Belarus economic woes may complicate presidential poll

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BELARUS

This year started with a contraction of first-quarter GDP, after two years of very slow growth. Industrial output contracted as well. As world oil prices have dropped, Belarus no…