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Venezuela's oil outlook is modest despite tailwinds

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VENEZUELA

Higher oil prices, enhanced sanctions evasion and imported Iranian 'diluents' (liquids used to dilute heavy crude) allowed for a resurgence of Venezuelan oil exports and…

South Sudan's economic recovery requires deeper reform

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SOUTH SUDAN

Management of South Sudan's economy

Morocco will struggle to lift growth rates

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MOROCCO

This is below the medium-term target of average annual real GDP growth of 6%, with economic performance largely affected by poor agricultural harvests. There was a modest recovery…

Oil will challenge fragile institutions in Guyana

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GUYANA

Guyana, hitherto a non-oil producing state, will produce growing volumes of crude oil. This will bring a range of consequences, potentially both positive and negative. It will…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Brazil government coalition risks unraveling

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BRAZIL

On her return from the United States and Russia, President Dilma Rousseff's problems have not changed; indeed, most worsened during her absence. Brazil's economic outlook is…

Opposition losses may erode Tanzanian democracy

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TANZANIA

Tanzanian party politics.

Liberia's Weah will struggle to stifle dissent

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LIBERIA

The president’s utterances mark a shift from his previous calls for a roundtable dialogue with opposition protest leaders, who on June 7 organised the largest mass protest since…

Noboa’s youthful Ecuadoran government faces challenges

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ECUADOR

Rather than serving a full term, he will complete that of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso, who took office in 2021 but stood down early, having run into congressional gridlock…

Peru cabinet reshuffle will bring little policy change

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PERU

Boluarte has reshuffled some key cabinet posts, including the portfolios of defence, economy and finance, and energy and mines. The main purpose of the changes is to shore up…