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Angolan reform efforts face structural constraints

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ANGOLA

Angolan economic reforms.

Angolan government will point to early reform progress

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ANGOLA

The underperformance of the oil sector, coupled with a recent fuel distribution crisis, have combined to dampen growth forecasts for 2019. While President Joao Lourenco’s…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

Colombia tax reform and budget will be watered down

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COLOMBIA

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2018.

Costly food will spotlight neglect of Turkish farming

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TURKEY

This exceeds overall consumer price inflation of 15.9%. Besides causing public alarm, high food prices could indicate that Turkey is barely managing to feed its growing…

Angola mounting debt burden raises future default risk

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ANGOLA

The IMF's willingness to turn a blind eye may enable Angola to retain access to concessional finance over the next 18 months; however, Luanda needs a plan to address deferred…

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for the Russian economy in 2018.

Kazakhstan will fear low oil price longevity

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KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan's oil-based economy.

Cuba's monetary reform will create multiple shocks

Location:

CUBA

The long-postponed move is essential but will send shockwaves through the economy. Inflation and currency flight will soar. Salary and pension hikes will be quickly eaten up by…