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Prospects for the global economy in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

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INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Warsaw's ambitious growth plan's funding is weak link

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POLAND

The government's plan for infrastructure-led growth.

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

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EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Colombia tax reform and budget will be watered down

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COLOMBIA

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

Zambia debt crisis faces imminent tipping point

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ZAMBIA

President Edgar Lungu and his Patriotic Front (PF) government are increasingly struggling to mobilise resources to meet repayments amid continued high public spending. Meanwhile…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Global economy prospects.

Prospects for China's economy in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for China's economy in 2020.

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

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ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Negative bond yields will fuel global equity rally

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INTERNATIONAL

The gains in global equities stem from the expanding universe of negative-yielding government bonds, which now account for nearly a third of the stock of global sovereign debt…