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Major tests lie ahead for Ecuador’s Noboa

Location:

ECUADOR

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

East Timor-Australia ties are at a crossroads

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EAST TIMOR/AUSTRALIA

He urged Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to help resolve a long-running impasse over whether gas from the Greater Sunrise gas field should be refined in East Timor or…

Prospects for Mexico in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

The government faces challenges on several fronts, but looks set to benefit politically from the weakness of opposition parties, which are struggling to gain public trust.

Mid-term Argentina polls fan Macri second term hopes

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ARGENTINA

The strong showing by Cambiemos was dominated by its party lists’ victory in the key Buenos Aires province, where it defeated the Unidad Ciudadana (UC) party of former President…

Prospects for Central America/Caribbean in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Central America and the Caribbean in 2018.

New Uruguay government's COVID-19 boost will not last

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URUGUAY

The contraction preceded the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak. The large inherited fiscal deficit and rising debt-to-GDP ratio are forcing the new government to take unpopular…

Risk of Greek euro exit has risen but is still small

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GREECE

The prospects for Greek departure from the euro-area.

Tunisia Nidaa divisions will benefit Ennahda in 2019

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TUNISIA

Negotiations between coalition government parties and other major political players to agree on a new document outlining the government’s path forward (the ‘Carthage II…

Medina win may foster complacency in Dominican Republc

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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Full results are expected later today. Medina's party, the centre-left Dominican Liberation Party (PLD), is also likely to get a majority in Congress and in the Senate, and…

Poe will be decisive in Philippines 2016 election

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Update on the outlook for the 2016 presidential elections.