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Thai premier’s political strategy will be flexible

Location:

THAILAND

The government parliamentary bloc is led by the Phalang Pracharat Party, formed to support Prayut’s transition from junta leader to civilian premier. While dampening speculation…

Lasso move risks worsening tensions in Ecuador

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ECUADOR

A spate of deadly prison uprisings has accompanied a more general rise in crime, especially in the coastal region, which has seen homicides soar. Lasso's emergency measure, which…

Security struggles will exacerbate violence in Mexico

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MEXICO

Although this scenario had already been contemplated in the official decree that established the GN in 2019, the new terms for military deployments are notably different.

Angolan youth frustrations could grow

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ANGOLA

Both reflecting and channelling recent localised protests about various issues, this movement of non-party youth has become a focal point for growing frustration with President…

Ghana's Akufo-Addo holds poll advantage over old foe

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GHANA

This is the third time Akufo-Addo and Mahama have faced each other: Akufo-Addo lost to Mahama in 2012 but won in 2016. The appearance of two well-known candidates may contribute…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

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ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Prospects for Nigeria in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

These shocks will sustain already heightened reform pressures on the government during a period of diminishing public revenue. Security crises across various states and regions…

Zimbabwean government will try to entrench its control

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ZIMBABWE

Chamisa’s call comes amid worsening political and economic crises and rising public frustration with President Emmerson Mnangagwa and the ruling ZANU-PF. Meanwhile, Mnangagwa’s…

Conflict and pandemic disrupt Armenian reform momentum

Location:

ARMENIA

The intensity of the clashes, now in their third day, heightens the risk of full-scale war with Azerbaijan. Pashinyan is committed to defending Armenian-controlled Karabakh…

Senegal’s crisis response may heighten tensions

Location:

SENEGAL

This comes despite increasing cases of COVID-19 cases nationwide, with the government forced this week to postpone the planned return of school students after ten teachers tested…