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Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

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IRAN

Washington has increased pressure on Tehran on a near-daily basis since it designated the IRGC as a terrorist organisation on April 8. The United States has imposed new sanctions…

War threatens Russia’s position as arms exporter

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RUSSIA

A combination of the threat of US sanctions, shifting patterns of demand on international markets, and the growing demands of Russia’s own military has caused arms exports to…

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2016

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PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2016.

Unity on Ukraine is at risk in EU’s eastern members

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EU

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

Ukraine invasion will raise Estonian premier’s support

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ESTONIA

For Estonians, the war in Ukraine has awakened traumatic memories of Soviet invasion during the Second World War and generates great sympathy for Ukraine and anger at Russia, as…