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Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

ASEAN will pursue incremental engagement in Myanmar

Location:

MYANMAR

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

Cambodian interventions will not ease Myanmar crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

Cambodia is the 2022 chair of ASEAN, which has a five-point plan for resolving conflict between the Myanmar junta and its opponents. Hun Sen held talks with junta leader Min Aung…

Myanmar junta grows more comfortable diplomatically

Location:

MYANMAR

He held talks with his junta-appointed counterpart, Wunna Maung Lwin, on the sidelines of the seventh foreign ministers’ meeting of the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation (LMC) mechanism…

Myanmar junta may weaken but will not make concessions

Location:

MYANMAR

ASEAN’s ‘Five-Point Consensus’ plan to ease the fallout from the 2021 coup shows no signs of making progress, and Cambodia -- the group’s 2022 chair -- has stopped advocating…

Narcotics trafficking will increase in South-east Asia

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The ‘Golden Triangle’ -- centred on the tripoint of Laos, Thailand and Myanmar -- has long been a hub for production of illicit drugs. The area is rife with drug cartels.

ASEAN will be weakened by internal strains

Location:

ASEAN

This year, it plans to hold its 38th and 39th summits back-to-back on October 26-28. The decision to postpone the first meeting is likely a response to internal strains. The bloc…

Myanmar opposition cannot defeat regime militarily

Location:

MYANMAR

The NUG announced the formation of a People’s Defence Force (PDF) in May. It urges PDF combatants and ethnic armed organisations (EAOs) embroiled in long-running conflicts with…

Myanmar junta will press on with election plans

Location:

MYANMAR

This enables the State Administration Council, the junta headed by military chief and coup leader Min Aung Hlaing, to remain in place for another six months. Min Aung Hlaing…

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2019

Location:

PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2019.