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Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests

Location:

SYRIA

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

War in Ukraine will deepen poverty in Central Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

Pandemic to worsen recession and instability in Haiti

Location:

HAITI

World Bank and IMF financial support totalling USD142mn, in the form of grants and zero-interest loans, will help partially to cover increasing external and fiscal financing gaps…

Isolation from West will bring Russia and Iran closer

Location:

RUSSIA/IRAN

The two countries have turned to each other amid increasing isolation from international banking systems, export markets, and foreign resources and technologies. Deepening their…

Prospects for Nigeria in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

These shocks will sustain already heightened reform pressures on the government during a period of diminishing public revenue. Security crises across various states and regions…

Economy and security will test the Egyptian president

Location:

EGYPT

It is the bloodiest terrorist attack on Egyptian civilians in almost six years and has highlighted the gravity of the security threat facing the Sisi government at a time when the…

Syrian-Lebanese food shortages will drive instability

Location:

SYRIA/LEBANON

While Lebanon is experiencing what the World Bank dubbed “the worst economic crisis in more than a century”, civil war-torn Syria has been hit by one of the most severe droughts…

Prospects for Nigeria to end-2020

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2020

This has increased pressure on President Muhammadu Buhari’s government to fast-track reforms amid worsening unemployment and inequality. Meanwhile, ongoing security crises…

Uzbek economic reform actions do not include politics

Location:

UZBEKISTAN

Currency exchange liberalisation starting with a 100% devaluation on September 5 is the first substantive domestic policy reform of Shavqat Mirzioyev's presidency. A year after…

Erdogan will not back down in row over US pastor

Location:

TURKEY/US

Although the Turkish-US alliance has had recurrent tensions and frictions during seven decades, it is experiencing troubles that might be terminal and could also undo the economic…