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Market conditions will outweigh Polish political risk

Location:

POLAND

The impact of the European Commission decision to escalate the ‘rule of law’ procedure against Poland to its third and final stage.

US actions raise agricultural trade costs globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

US President Donald Trump last month targeted Canada’s supply management system for dairy, poultry and eggs as an example of unfair restrictions on agricultural exports to that…

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

Risks threaten optimistic Greek growth forecasts

Location:

GREECE

After the 2021-22 post-pandemic rebound, growth is stabilising at around 2%. Barring new external shocks, it is expected to remain at this level in the coming years. Improved…

Tunisia's economic challenges show no sign of abating

Location:

TUNISIA

The economic situation is challenging: unemployment was 16.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023, and work and business opportunities are limited. The government has avoided a debt…

Lebanese Shia will rely on Hezbollah parallel economy

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LEBANON

This promptly followed reports of a large explosion at a Hezbollah-linked fuel depot on a smuggling route across the Lebanon-Syria border, possibly targeted by Israeli planes.

Sudan’s new cabinet faces daunting challenges

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SUDAN

The cabinet deviates sharply from the more technocratic cabinets under the transition thus far, as armed opposition and political leaders have now been brought into a much…

Jordan’s stalled economy risks rising social tensions

Location:

JORDAN

The economy faces chronic problems of low growth, joblessness and declining living standards, resulting in periodic protests. Its heavy dependence on foreign aid, especially from…

Lebanese economy on course for muted recovery in 2015

Location:

LEBANON

According to its Global Economic Prospects report, the bank forecast a modest increase in GDP growth in 2015 to 2.0%, up from an estimated 1.5% in 2014. Since 2011, the economy…