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The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.

Cruise lines are banking on regular sailings next year

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INTERNATIONAL

The largest cruise companies, Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Royal Norwegian, expect no sailings from US ports until at least November. The COVID-19 pandemic shut down global…

Belarus's healthcare will be key political asset

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BELARUS

For Belarusian citizens, access to healthcare is a constitutional right. Consequently, any attempted reforms that would involve a major shift to commercialisation will have…

Ethics could damage public trust in UK government

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UNITED KINGDOM

The UK government’s landslide election victory in 2019 has given Prime Minister Boris Johnson room to pursue an agenda for governance that targets institutions such as the Supreme…

Shrinking workforce will dent East Asia’s economies

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EAST ASIA

Persistently low fertility rates mean that the next decade will see ‘super-aged’ societies not just in China but also in other key East Asian economies, including Hong Kong…

Divided ANC undermines Ramaphosa’s capacity to govern

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SOUTH AFRICA

These challenges are interlinked, and all threaten Ramaphosa’s standing over the medium term. They also influence Ramaphosa’s ability to manage an intensely divided ANC, with…

South Africa vaccine plan will struggle to convince

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SOUTH AFRICA

President Cyril Ramaphosa's government has been criticised for tardy and inefficient vaccine procurement, as well as lack of transparency and accountability. It has recently…

Vietnam will quicken pace of vaccine roll-out

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VIETNAM

Meanwhile, its programme to vaccinate the population against the coronavirus is proceeding slowly: fewer than 160,000 of its roughly 98 million people are fully inoculated. The…

Antimicrobial resistance will increase internationally

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INTERNATIONAL

For many infections, first-line treatments are no longer proving as effective as previously. Alternative treatments are not easily accessible in all parts of the world and…

Vaccines will drive financial markets over US politics

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INTERNATIONAL

Divided government provides scope for volatility at a perilous time for the pandemic-ravaged US economy, but markets are putting greater weight on the prospect of a vaccine…