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Prospects for Turkey in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

Hungary’s Orban will probably survive Bicske scandal

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HUNGARY

Fidesz has suffered three high-profile political casualties following the presidential pardon for Endre Konya, who tried to cover up for a child abuser: President Katalin Novak…

Both main US parties lost and won overnight

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UNITED STATES

The result was anticipated, not least as the incumbent US president’s party almost always loses congressional seats in midterm elections. Yet this makes the 2018 polls no less…

Finland election likely to see centre-left government

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FINLAND

Finland looks set to be the next euro-area country to see the ousting of a government made unpopular by austerity and low growth, in favour of an opposition force. However, the…

Ruto will try to broaden Kenya’s trade ties

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KENYA

Nairobi also says it expects a US-Kenya free trade agreement (FTA) to be finalised by April 2024, while the government has promised various tax and other incentives to foreign…

Price protests may not bring down Azerbaijani regime

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AZERBAIJAN

Authorities took too long to adjust the exchange-rate regime under pressure from falling oil prices, wasting resources that could have been used to shore up the banking sector…

War may not prevent elections in Ukraine

Location:

UKRAINE

Zelensky’s statement followed weeks of growing speculation that a wartime election might be held. However, it is still unclear if elections -- either parliamentary or…

Prospects for Ukraine in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

None is easily resolvable and President Volodymyr Zelensky's administration is not faring well. More than a year after Zelensky’s double election wins, it is increasingly apparent…

Portugal faces period of heightened instability

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PORTUGAL

AD won the March 10 election by a narrow margin, well short of a majority, with the outgoing Socialist Party (PS) a close second and the radical right Chega in third. Together…

Berlin summit will widen Balkan economic integration

Location:

EU/BALKANS

The deals facilitate travel between the countries and enhance workforce mobility by recognising academic and professional qualifications. They mark an important step towards…