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Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

Foreign ties may help to alleviate Cuba’s crises

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CUBA

International relations may provide some respite. Recent visits by President Miguel Diaz-Canel to Algiers, Moscow, Istanbul and Beijing prompted several gestures that should ease…

Vaccine woes will deepen polarisation in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

A rise in cases and deaths has increased pressure on the government over its sluggish vaccine roll-out. Despite an announcement recently that a local laboratory will soon begin…

India will be selective in accepting aid

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INDIA

In recent years, it has refused foreign aid for disaster relief. In view of its worsening coronavirus outbreak, dozens of countries are now offering supplies such as medical…

Central Asia's vaccination campaigns will be patchy

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CENTRAL ASIA

Vaccination, procurement and limited local production are in train but face many systemic obstacles. One state, Turkmenistan, claims it has never had a COVID-19 case, while…

Russian pharma sector faces pandemic pressures

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RUSSIA

Russia has a thriving pharmaceutical sector, but companies are struggling to meet the surge in demand for a range of essential drugs. The obstacles come from new supply-chain…

EU-China economic ties will become more distant

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EU/CHINA

The pandemic has exposed Europe’s dependence on China for medical equipment, the vulnerability of European firms to Chinese takeovers and China’s lack of transparency in general…

Vietnam will quicken pace of vaccine roll-out

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VIETNAM

Meanwhile, its programme to vaccinate the population against the coronavirus is proceeding slowly: fewer than 160,000 of its roughly 98 million people are fully inoculated. The…

India will not revive vaccine shipments until 2022

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INDIA

India suspended its ‘vaccine diplomacy’ in April, choosing to prioritise shots for its own population, as it came under pressure from a massive second wave of COVID-19 infections…

US shift boosts hopes of Venezuela dialogue progress

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VENEZUELA

Optimism is building that there will be progress in dialogue efforts between President Nicolas Maduro's government and US-recognised ‘interim president’ Juan Guaido. The current…