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War in Ukraine will deepen poverty in Central Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

Croatia will watch whether euro adoption raises prices

Location:

CROATIA

After implementing its anti-inflationary stabilisation programme in 1993, Croatia recorded stable and modest inflation rates. That changed in 2022, when inflation accelerated…

ECB QE and growth may obscure Polish political risk

Location:

POLAND

Having fallen against the resurgent dollar this year, the zloty has lately been strengthening, since the US Federal Reserve surprised financial markets by striking a more dovish…

Brunei will step up efforts to diversify economy

Location:

BRUNEI

The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

Poland's new NBP governor may bring gradual change

Location:

POLAND

Poland faces an uncertain second quarter, the economy having slowed to its lowest point since late 2012. Questions are being raised over the outlook for interest rates under new…

Brazil's recession will be long and recovery tepid

Location:

BRAZIL

Poor industrial performance adds to a long list of woes for an economy facing a deep recession, with increasing unemployment, high inflation and the risk of losing its hard-won…

Erdogan’s priority is returning Turkey to Islamic ways

Location:

TURKEY

The suspension of Turkey’s exploratory activities in the eastern Mediterranean as scheduled eases tensions with Greece and could allow for diplomacy. President Recep Tayyip…